tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38067964.post5234120066688183115..comments2024-01-11T10:25:57.007+00:00Comments on Labour of Gove: Political Betting & Polls: Look Beyond HeadlinesChris Paulhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15679067503215414300noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38067964.post-16826429372001435142008-07-15T23:57:00.000+01:002008-07-15T23:57:00.000+01:00I never read opinion polls mate so I wouldn't know...I never read opinion polls mate so I wouldn't know what you are talking about. Can't trust them, can you?<BR/><BR/>But interesting that you now think that Gordon will wait until May 2010 before he risks an election. I think you are right though - he hasn't got another option. Look at the opinion polls...Doh!Ted Foanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04497077127882545545noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38067964.post-55127921418547707312008-07-15T13:01:00.000+01:002008-07-15T13:01:00.000+01:00I don't think June 2009 is that likely anymore. Bu...I don't think June 2009 is that likely anymore. But we'll have to wait and see.<BR/><BR/>I have linked to the PB story which does indeed contain the quote you helpfully provide.<BR/><BR/>Do you have any thoughts about the underlying results for Populus or the other pollsters e.g. 44 to 42% preference for Labour not Tory govt DESPITE the unpopularity and dissatisfaction?Chris Paulhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15679067503215414300noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38067964.post-48968141975975486942008-07-15T00:59:00.000+01:002008-07-15T00:59:00.000+01:00I agree with you Chris - you are no expert. But if...I agree with you Chris - you are no expert. But if you are going to delve into the data then perhaps you will tell your reader what Political Betting actually said:<BR/><BR/>"These numbers from the five major polling firms are going to move up and down but the overall picture is the same - the Tories are in the 40s and Labour are in the 20s - which suggests a substantial Tory majority after the next election."<BR/><BR/>It's very early days but if the SNP can eat into the Labour heartland in Glasgow East next week then the possibility of a Labour wipe-out in a general election is not so far-fetched.<BR/><BR/>As you were tipping a GE in June 2009 not so long ago we may not have long to wait. Are you still so certain or will he do a "Major" and leave it until the last minute?Ted Foanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04497077127882545545noreply@blogger.com