Friday, April 20, 2007

Political Betting: Tory Pundit Townhall Predictions


For Scotland Tory pundit Sean Fear is predicting a 150 rather than the 100 seat loss, which results from basic switch to PR, almost all going to the SNP. Also that Labour will control only three Councils - Glasgow, North Lanarkshire and Midlothian - with ALL the rest on No Overall Control.

For Wales he makes no predictions whatsoever.

And for England he is predicting 750 gains for Tories matched by 850 losses for Labour with the 100 balance mostly going Green or to the fascist BNP. He says Lib Dems level pegging. No change.

I'm thinking all these numbers are high sided. Try 450, 480 and 80. With 50 seats lost by the Lib Dems. Clearly, if I'm right the carnage in control (or lack of) of Town Halls will be nowhere near Sean's Armageddon.

Worth a look. Comments over there are going mental. There's money in them thar polls! Remember though that many of these bloggers are themselves punters ... beware!

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