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EXCLUSIVE Blackburn, Lancashire: The Wards to Watch in Horrendous Lib-Fash Stitch Up
In Ewood where the Lib Dems are again not standing the BNP's John Joseph Raleigh who overtook the Tories for 2nd last time needs 111 new votes or a 56 vote swing from Labour to win.
In Meadowhead where there are two seats up the Lib Dems and BNP have each stood just one candidate. England First a direct off shoot of the BNP hold one seat in this ward.
In Shadsworth the Lib Dems ARE standing but with the BNP in a clear second again, closing the gap a little I'm going to be interested to see whether the Lib Dems really fight to hold onto their 343 votes for third.
7 comments:
don't quite understand. If the Lib Dems don't stand, it unites the anti-fascist vote. I.e. if you have
1st Labour, 1000 votes
2nd BNP, 900 votes
3rd Tory, 500 votes
4th Lib Dem, 300 votes
then if the Lib Dems stand aside, their voters are going to split between Labour and Tory, with few votes going to BNP. Ultimately the fewer opponents, the less likely the BNP are to win.
This is not in fact the case in the above examples. And there is careless written proof of an electoral pact in Blackburn. Leaked from the Lib Dems. Just watch out for results which make that apparent.
Your analysis also begs questions about why the Lib Dems are actually standing in some other no hope wards? It does not hold up.
It is an explanation that I'd buy sometimes. But in Blackburn and most NW Council seats I'd not.
Why are the Libs and BNP standing one each in the existing Fascist ward with the two seats?
Please do explain that!
In the example you've given I'd expect some of the Lib Dem votes to go to the fascists ... possibly even 101 of them. The simularities in the local communalism of the two parties is a wretched albatross around the neck of any decent people who happen also to be Liberals.
There is certainly no guarantee that Lib Dems would vote for either Labour of Tories. So it would be better for the LD to stand and actually urge a Labour vote to beat them and prove that Lib Dems are not chancers.
Come on you Lib Demmer - explain this treachery
Well where are you then you friend of fascists you? We're waiting? Why the tandem approach in the two-seat ward? Explain!
Perhaps waiting for you to publish the email evidence you said you had?
I'm a Tory actually....
Well well well "Anonymouse". I had begun to realise as the night wore on and the significance of the Sharston comment was discovered that one of my trolls was in fact a Tory. I'll not out you just now ... and I'll not be publishing the written proof of the collaboration until it suits me.
Neither the BNP nor the Lib Dems profited in that two-seat race. The Tories got BOTH seats but it was pretty close with Labour. BNP beat the Libs as I recall. More anon.
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